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The YTD rally in the S&P 500 has been dominantly comprised from the performance on the top 8 stocks, all of which performed poorly last year.  This is by far the narrowest rally since the Tech Bubble, which ultimately culminated in an 80% drop in the Nasdaq.  These stocks are so big and comprise such...
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I came across a terrific article I wanted to share with you by the asset manager GMO on how extreme the opportunity in value is versus growth.  I’m going to share some of the most important commentaries.   “The performance of Value from 2007 to 2019 was, to put it mildly, uninspiring. This was not...
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The last decade has been a strong one for U.S. equities and bonds.  One primary driver of that performance were low starting valuations, stemming from the Great Recession, which had just ended in 2009.  This was the opposite of the scenario that led to the lost decade preceding it.  I believe many market participants are...
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On Monday, we saw additional positive news on the Covid-19 vaccine front, with Moderna’s initial data looking very promising.  This is another revolutionary MRNA vaccine, similar to Pfizer’s, which released impressive data last week. More traditionally developed vaccines are coming down the pipeline as well, and treatments such as the Eli Lilly and Regeneron antibody...
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I hope everyone is holding up okay.  We’ve seen some encouraging employment numbers coming off those massive layoffs, but clearly the economy still has a lot of work to do to get close to recovering from where it was.  This month we should see a new stimulus bill negotiated, which will surely be very contentious. ...
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2020 has seen a major disconnect between growth and value.  In the first quarter, the Russell 1000 Pure Growth Total Return index returned -13.6%, while the Russell 1000 Pure Value Total Return index returned -35%.  If you think about the companies that are most negatively impacted by the bizarre nature of this crisis where economies...
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On Saturday, Berkshire Hathaway hosted its annual shareholder meeting, which had a different feel, taking place in an empty auditorium, and without the great Charlie Munger being by his side.  Despite that, the meeting had a lot of great information, during these immensely precarious times.  Overall Buffett, is always bullish long-term on America, and on...
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The vicious Covid-19 Pandemic is one of the most interesting and tragic times in history.  Right now, we are at an inflection point.  New cases, hospitalizations and deaths, are declining in Spain and Italy.  Deaths are likely peaking this week and early next week in our hardest hit areas of New York and New Jersey. ...
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We had a feeling Monday would be bad and boy, did it deliver with the stock market dropping by nearly 8%, now down 19% in just 13 trading sessions.  The Oil and Gas Exploration and Production ETF was down 37% today alone!  This market selloff is now bigger than what we saw in late 2018,...
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With market volatility spiking, I thought it would be a great time to describe in detail how our options strategies work. On the first example on the top of this email, we will outline how selling cash-secured puts work. If a stock we believe is worth $40 is trading at $32, we might think the...
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    7242 East Cortez Rd
    Scottsdale, AZ 85260
    Phone: 805-886-8140
    Fax : 949-335-9784

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