July 2020
I hope everyone is healthy and making the best of this summer in this tumultuous year.  Today we got U.S. 2nd quarter GDP data, which was down by roughly a third, which is something we haven’t seen since the 1940’s.  This is a lagging indicator and was expected as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic...
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Over the long-term, the best performing stock strategy has been owning the cheapest companies from a valuation perspective.  Enterprise/value/EBIT, divides the (market cap+debt-cash by pretax operating income.)  An EV/EBIT of 5, means that if you buy a business for $1 million dollars, you are generating a 20% pretax return, or $200K.  That sounds pretty good...
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I’ve been writing to you for quite some time about the massive paradox between growth and value stocks.  The largest growth companies have become so big that they now represent the largest portion of the indices in history.  Conversely, value stocks have remained in the penalty box and are trading at very cheap valuations.  The...
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I hope everyone is holding up okay.  We’ve seen some encouraging employment numbers coming off those massive layoffs, but clearly the economy still has a lot of work to do to get close to recovering from where it was.  This month we should see a new stimulus bill negotiated, which will surely be very contentious. ...
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