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On Wednesday the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 bps, or 1/2%.  Initially the market reacted favorably to this with a strong rally on Wednesday, only to be reversed with the biggest down day since 2020 on Thursday.  Tech/glamour stocks have simply been getting obliterated.  Tesla dropped 8.3% on the day, while Amazon dropped...
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While this optimism ultimately may prove to be valid if interest rates stay this low for many years to come and if earnings continue to grow, there is also a very real chance that many market participants will get badly burned. Most of this year's stock returns for the overall market are coming from Amazon,...
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Few articles that I have read describe the investment philosophy of T&T Capital Management (TTCM) better than the below one by the great value investor Howard Marks.  My first six or seven years in the investment industry revolved around the substantive differences between the way that the most successful investors in history have invested, and...
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Here is Tim Travis’ research report on Facebook (FB) on Oct 31st 2012.   http://seekingalpha.com/article/964501-facebook-still-a-long-way-from-providing-a-margin-of-safety
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Below is TTCM’s most recent article on Facebook (FB).  This is a company that has obviously sold off quite a bit from the IPO price but it still seems overvalued to us.  It will have to perform perfectly for many years to really grow into its valuation, and while it is possible, we tend to...
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I don’t have a lot of compassion for people that gambled on the Facebook IPO on the belief that the stock just had to go up.  That is not a winning investment strategy or emblematic of an investment at all.  I will say though that I though Facebook’s management did everything they could to ensure...
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While 2012 has been quite a good year for investors long the market, it has really been the market climbing a “wall or worry,” as opposed to real enthusiasm of the economy or the business environment.  The worst thing one can do is now pile in because they feel they need to catch up, having...
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I’m really looking forward to seeing Facebook’s (FB) earnings on Thursday.  Everyone will be watching the company’s revenue growth to see if it continues to decelerate.  Facebook is a tremendous business but to warrant its massive market cap the company must meet exceptionally high standards.  While they certainly may be capable of doing so, as...
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I found this excellent article on valuing Facebook (FB).  The author Henry Blodget makes a lot of good points at why Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) offer much more attractive opportunities due to their cheaper valuations, and explosive growth prospects.  Enjoy the article: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-is-facebook-worth-2012-5 INVESTING IN THE FINANCIAL MARKETS INVOLVES RISKS. OPTIONS ARE NOT SUITABLE...
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One of the reasons why I thought the Facebook IPO price was outrageous was due to the increasing competition that the company is facing, which I expect to only get worse moving forward.  Technology changes so frequently and what is cool now, can be old news in six months.  In a digital age it really...
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