It has been over 10 months since the S&P 500 has seen a new high and many market pundits are of the belief that the bull market starting in 2009 is now over.  It is my belief that stocks overall are priced within the realm of reason, and are neither extremely expensive or extremely cheap. ...Read More

While the first 2 months of 2016 were quite terrible, markets are clearly starting to loosen up. This is very good news for the big banks’ that rely on companies issuing equity and debt as part of their investment banking operations. There is no doubt that first quarter earnings will be bad compared to robust...Read More

Read the latest research report by our Chief Investment Officer Tim Travis on Citigroup (C). Citigroup: Bank on Mr. Market’s Unfounded ParanoiaRead More

Today Citigroup reported 4th quarter earnings that beat analyst estimates.  Profits were about $3.4 billion in the quarter or $1.06 per share.  For the full year the company earned $17 billion dollars, or $5.40 per share.  Book value and Tangible book value increased to $69.46 and $60.61, respectively.  Citi Holdings Assets declined by 43% from...Read More

Hello Everybody, Earnings season has started off very strongly for the big U.S. banks, which we’ve owned for over 5 years now.  Credit conditions started improving about 3 or 4 years ago and is now absolutely pristine.  Unfortunately, litigations and most importantly penalties imposed by government agencies have cost these companies and shareholders tens of...Read More

Read our latest research report from Chief Investment Officer Tim Travis on Citigroup Inc. (C) Citigroup – As The Fog Lifts, The Stock Will Go HigherRead More

Below you’ll find a link to today’s recorded webinar.  I’d strongly suggest that you take the time to watch it.  It is very important to understand that most of the market is extremely expensive and risky.  This is the case in both equities and fixed income.  Over the short-term, it is impossible to know what...Read More

Hello Everybody, Today, the results of the stress tests including capital allocation plans were announced and the results were quite favorable.  These tests are honestly rather silly as the Fed uses hypothetical models and the most draconian assumptions possible to forecast the results.  Also, there are extremely subjective measurements made by a lot of bureaucrats,...Read More

Hello Everybody, January has been a month of extreme volatility in everything including stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies.  Historic moves have occurred causing massive distortions throughout financial markets.  For instance; to deposit money at the German or Swiss central banks’, the depositor has to pay the bank.  Earnings season started with financials selling off and...Read More

“The big money is not in the buying and selling…but in the waiting.” -Charlie Munger   Hello Everybody, Some of the large banks have reported earnings for the 4th quarter of 2014 and the results were underwhelming.  Much of this had already been forecasted as the decline in interest rates and incredible volatility pressured fixed...Read More