Tag

Economy
This morning, the WSJ reported that Warren Buffett has been on an aggressive buying spree during this bear market.  There is a link to the market below.  Buffett has been buying value stocks such as Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, and Hewlett-Packard to name a few.  When he is buying on the stocks, he isn’t predicting that...
Read More
  Today’s CPI inflation data came in hot at 8.3%, down slightly from the previous report, but higher than expectations. Inflation is rampant in all the key areas that impact our daily lives such as food, energy, shelter and transportation.  The sting of higher prices and the disruption emerging from the Chinese lockdowns has the...
Read More
Yesterday’s CPI report showed prices up 7.9% YoY, which was the highest reading since 1982.  Even more concerning, this was before the impacts of the Russian/Ukraine war is reflected in the data.  Market volatility is exceptionally high and pessimism is quite pervasive.  There are legitimate fears that inflation in excess of wage growth could cause...
Read More
I’ve been writing a lot about elevated valuations for equities and the absolutely horrid risk/reward in almost all bonds.  I’ve kept the same graphics at the top of this email for the last month as I want to emphasize the importance.  We’ve also covered inflation, which is rearing its ugly head, with the September PPI...
Read More
Today the Case/Shiller housing price data came out and it showed prices up nearly 20% YoY. Brent crude oil touched $80 per barrel and is on course for its best month since February. Treasury yields have risen quite dramatically over the last week, with the 10-year now above 1.5%, the highest since June.  Natural gas...
Read More
Global markets have sold off pretty hard to start the week.  Most of the narrative surrounds the Chinese property market and one of their largest developers, Evergrande.  China’s government is clamping down on leverage and demanding many industries to buy in, literally, to their social objectives via cash “donations”, cheaper housing, etc.  Both the Shanghai...
Read More
Today the U.S. consumer prices numbers were released.  The numbers topped forecasts significantly, increasing by 0.8% from the prior month, reflecting gains in nearly every major category.  To put it into context, the gain in the overall CPI was twice as much as the highest projection in a Bloomberg survey of economists.  It is clear...
Read More
Last night’s Senate runoff in Georgia looks like it will be a clean sweep for the Democrats giving them control of the Presidency, House and Senate (with the VP holding the tie breaking vote). The margins in the House and the Senate are very small, so it won’t be easy to pass a major tax...
Read More
The last decade has been a strong one for U.S. equities and bonds.  One primary driver of that performance were low starting valuations, stemming from the Great Recession, which had just ended in 2009.  This was the opposite of the scenario that led to the lost decade preceding it.  I believe many market participants are...
Read More
Running up to the election in 2016, I believe the market was down 12 days in a row or something along those lines. We’ve seen a substantial selloff once again running into this one as tensions are high and stimulus is not happening prior to the election. Facebook, Amazon, Apple, and Google were down by...
Read More
1 2 3 11

Recent Comments

    7242 East Cortez Rd
    Scottsdale, AZ 85260
    Phone: 805-886-8140
    Fax : 949-335-9784