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Strategies
Historically, it has made reasonable sense for retirees to have a sizable allocation to bonds.  A minimum of 40% was certainly not uncommon.  The logic behind this was that retirees regularly draw from their accounts and are less comfortable with the enhanced volatility that stocks can at times provide.  The supposedly steady income from the...
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This morning I read a good article in the WSJ, posted below.  The article discussed that, as a whole, stocks and bonds are pricey by historical measures.  Highly valued stocks and bonds have very likely pulled future returns forward, meaning many investors have less of an opportunity for big gains in the future. “U.S. stocks...
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One of the hot stocks over the last few years has been Netflix.  Clearly, the product has been extremely successful across the globe, as the company has experienced strong subscriber growth.  As of July of this year, the stock was already up 40% for the year.  Despite the success of the product and the stock,...
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As discussed in our last newsletter, value stocks have roared back strongly to outperform struggling momentum stocks over the last two weeks.  This is only two weeks, but it is worth discussing, because it augurs to how we see the market in the future.  How can we generate the returns we are targeting of double-digit,...
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Over the last week, value stocks have poised very impressive gains, while many of the momentum names have really struggled.  This is obviously very good for our deep value investment portfolios.  I want to emphasize, we should never get too excited or upset by short-term performance metrics.  With that said, value stocks are as cheap...
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We at T&T Capital Management have been making the argument that the marketing and shift towards index fund investing, irrespective of valuation, is likely to lead to very serious problems in the future.  Every bubble arises out of a good story that gets carried too far.  Once valuations are seen as virtually irrelevant info, that...
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Continued pressure on bond yields and bad economic data out of China and Europe scared the market today, causing a 3% selloff.  While it is a large point drop, it would only qualify as the 342nd largest percentage drop in history.  Stocks got off to a torrid start to the year and it shouldn’t be...
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This has been a very busy week for earnings releases on some of our largest investments.  I just wanted to provide a quick update on a few of them, as they were meaningful. Assured Guaranty (AGO), was up roughly 7% after reporting a very strong quarter and a particularly attractive acquisition.  Net income was $142MM,...
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On Monday August 5th, stocks plunged by about 3%, as escalating trade tensions continued to garner fear, after the worst week of the year last week.  The Chinese government is allowing their currency to decline, which benefits their competitive advantage on trade.  This was in response to last week’s news of additional tariffs on China. ...
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On August 1st, markets across the globe were rattled as President Trump announced new tariffs on China.  Stocks plunged and the 10-year Treasury yield dropped below 1.9%.  The news shouldn’t have been such a shock as it has become increasingly clear that China hopes to stall.  If a new administration takes over in 2020, it...
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