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Tim Travis
The automotive industry is really performing well in the United States as pent up demand is meeting new more fuel efficient car models.  The average age of cars in use is in excess of 10 years so it makes a lot of sense to see sales increase, and I think that this is the beginning...
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My concern for the Chinese real estate market is growing greater as builders continue to increase supply despite falling prices and demand.  This is the worst case scenario for prices and the positive impact for Chinese GDP growth due to continued construction is nothing more than a sugar high, which will dissipate as demand wanes....
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Groupon (GRPN) continues to be one of the truly confounding IPO’s that have come out over the last few years.  From the very beginning they have been extremely aggressive in their accounting methods which is simply not necessary if you have a great business.  Groupon rushed into an IPO and they did everything they could...
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Avon Products is a stock that we started buying and selling puts on in November of 2011 for some clients.  During that time period Avon’s share price had dropped significantly due to regulatory problems in Brazil, and poor management from Andrea Jung. Today the company announced that privately held Coty Inc., offered to buy the...
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AIG CEO Robert Benmosche continues to show his leadership stripes by looking to get more aggressive into the mortgage market.  In this FT article Benmosche suggests that the company is looking to buy the mortgages that their subsidiary United Guaranty Corp is insuring.  United Guaranty has modified risk based pricing and is reviewing each loan...
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While Blackberry (RIMM) has certainly been under the gun of late, the company still has a very loyal user base.  For people that use their phone primarily for business needs Blackberry offers the best combination of productivity and security.  The company is behind the curved by waiting so long to their new line of Blackberry...
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In what is sure to be an interesting drama, Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) is attempting to put measures in place that would prohibit media mogul John Malone from taking control of the company.  Malone’s loan and preferred stock acquisition in the depths of the financial crisis was one of the most lucrative during that period...
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Global Payments (GPN) is one of the largest merchant processors in the world, and due to a suspected data breach on Friday the stock dropped about 9%.  Over the weekend Visa has said that they are removing their seal of approval which could make the small businesses that make up Global Payments client base, leery...
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Say what you what about Goldman Sachs but they are not stupid people and they understand the housing and mortgage markets.  Inventories are down and when demand picks up watch out. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-29/goldman-bets-on-property-rebound-with-new-fund-mortgages.html INVESTING IN THE FINANCIAL MARKETS INVOLVES RISKS. OPTIONS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
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Ken Heebner is a momentum investor which I can’t really relate to, but as far as making macroeconomic calls he has a strong history.  His points on the housing market are absolutely correct.  There is going to be a tremendous amount of money made on the recovery, and just as people were to bullish on...
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