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Stock Options
With market volatility spiking, I thought it would be a great time to describe in detail how our options strategies work. On the first example on the top of this email, we will outline how selling cash-secured puts work. If a stock we believe is worth $40 is trading at $32, we might think the...
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Many investors, especially retirees, understandably are focused on generating income from their investments.  Historically, bonds have been one of the best ways to achieve that, with less volatility than equities.  While history can be a fantastic guide to what can potentially happen in the future, looking at recent data on fixed income returns could not...
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I stumbled upon a fantastic article about the Tech Bubble and I wanted to share a few key points with you.  This is relevant because current market valuations appear to be very stretched by most metrics.  After an extremely strong 2019 and nearly an 11-year old bull market, investor optimism is quite high.  It is...
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Warren Buffett in July, 1999: “If I had to pick the most probable return over the next 20 year, it would be 6%.” Gallup poll in 1999: “Investors expect stocks to return 13-22% annually.” S&P avg. return from 1999-2019: 6.117%. (Source: Vetle Forsland)   As hard as it is to believe, another decade is coming...
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We at T&T Capital Management have been making the argument that the marketing and shift towards index fund investing, irrespective of valuation, is likely to lead to very serious problems in the future.  Every bubble arises out of a good story that gets carried too far.  Once valuations are seen as virtually irrelevant info, that...
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Continued pressure on bond yields and bad economic data out of China and Europe scared the market today, causing a 3% selloff.  While it is a large point drop, it would only qualify as the 342nd largest percentage drop in history.  Stocks got off to a torrid start to the year and it shouldn’t be...
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On Monday August 5th, stocks plunged by about 3%, as escalating trade tensions continued to garner fear, after the worst week of the year last week.  The Chinese government is allowing their currency to decline, which benefits their competitive advantage on trade.  This was in response to last week’s news of additional tariffs on China. ...
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Most financial advice starts with an asset allocation model.  These asset allocation models typically use information from the past, typically the last 30-40 years or so, and then project that into the future.  The big flaw in the process is that they don’t factor in changes in starting conditions and valuations.  For instance, on January...
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Believe it or not, there are now over $13 trillion worth of bonds that are trading at negative interest rates.  Money-losing unicorn stocks are able to IPO at valuations worth tens of billions of dollars.  Interest rates have plummeted with the 10-year Treasury bond now circling around 2%.  Lingering in the background of this environment,...
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Respected author and value investor Tobias Carlisle, interviewed T&T Capital Management CEO/CIO on his Acquirers Multiple podcast.  The two discussed various investments such as Assured Guaranty, Puerto Rico bonds, and Kennedy-Wilson.  They also delved into topics such as passive investing and market valuations.  We hope that you enjoy!
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