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MBIA
Well that was one heck of a week.  While I certainly was not smart enough to predict the results of the election, it has had a profound impact on my expectations for us as investors.  For the last 7 years, I’ve been one of the most vocal advocates of financial stocks that I am aware...
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  Since the extremely weak May jobs report, interest rates have plummeted across the globe. There are now over $10 trillion in bonds that are trading at negative interest rates. This is unprecedented as the buyers of these bonds are guaranteeing themselves losses if they hold until maturity. This has pushed asset prices up as...
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The basic tenets to value investing and margin of safety are the following: Every stock is a fractional share of an actual business. Every business or stock has an “intrinsic value.” The “intrinsic value” of a business generally changes at a much slower rate than the price of a publicly traded stock can change. Over...
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Below is the letter to MBIA shareholders’ written by CEO Jay Brown.  MBIA is another major bond insurer similar to AGO, although AGO is the much stronger company.  I wanted to share the letter because he makes some key points regarding exposure to Puerto Rico, which I believe to widely misunderstood by the overall market....
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Below is a link to TTCM’s most recent research report on Assured Guaranty (AGO).  The company trades at a considerable discount to operating shareholders’ equity and the recent increase in interest rates and ratings upgrade should propel earnings higher over the next few years.  I hope that you enjoy!     http://seekingalpha.com/article/2102023-ratings-improvement-and-higher-interest-rates-should-propel-assured-guaranty-higher  
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For those who have followed us for some time, you know that we are big fans of Bruce Berkowitz and his investment style.  He is probably the guy we have the most in common with in terms of our stock selection process.  Last year was a tough year for him, but while investors in his...
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One of Bruce Berkowitz’s most controversial positions is MBIA.  This is the bond insurance company which has had its ratings dramatically reduced and is engulfed in several significant lawsuits which should have a material impact on the business, and in turn the equity of the company.  Below is Berkowitz’s investment thesis on the company.  At...
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In the reps and warranties case including MBIA and Bank of America, a judge has increased the chances for a settlement by ruling that Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan must testify.  I think it is in both companies interest to settle this case as MBIA needs the cash flow, and Bank of America needs...
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It looks like Bank of America has the right man for the job in CEO Brian Moynihan.  The company has done a phenomenal job boosting capital through divesting non-core assets.  The banks has very strong reserves which should insulate it from future credit losses.  Due to all of the turmoil from lawsuit regarding reps and...
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Bond insurer MBIA is the subject of this research report.  The premise is that MBIA is likely to win their lawsuit allowing the company to split its public finance and structured finance units.  I think it is highly likely that they will win this lawsuit and that should benefit MBIA’s stock price.  I also believe...
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