We at T&T Capital Management have been making the argument that the marketing and shift towards index fund investing, irrespective of valuation, is likely to lead to very serious problems in the future.  Every bubble arises out of a good story that gets carried too far.  Once valuations are seen as virtually irrelevant info, that...Read More

While this optimism ultimately may prove to be valid if interest rates stay this low for many years to come and if earnings continue to grow, there is also a very real chance that many market participants will get badly burned. Most of this year's stock returns for the overall market are coming from Amazon,...Read More

Nearly a decade of unprecedented fiscal stimulus was bound to create bubbles. Last year, we had the great sovereign debt bubble where investors were paying countries and companies for the right to LOAN them money. As interest rates, have climbed, the foolishness of those participants has become more apparent as have their losses. Yield-desperate market...Read More

Well that was one heck of a week.  While I certainly was not smart enough to predict the results of the election, it has had a profound impact on my expectations for us as investors.  For the last 7 years, I’ve been one of the most vocal advocates of financial stocks that I am aware...Read More

I’ve been warning all year about a clear and obvious bubble in consumer staples stocks.  The same can be said for utilities and many areas on the fixed income market.  This bubble has been built on the pervasive market sentiment that as long as the dividend yield is reasonably greater than what can be obtained...Read More

After a month and a half of low volatility, where stock indexes failed to move by more than 1%, volatility has rushed back onto the scene over the last several days. Frankly, this is very normal market behavior, as periods of calm usually presage periods of volatility. One shouldn’t get complacent when things are quiet,...Read More

“Successful Investing takes time, discipline and patience.  No matter how great the talent or effort, some things just take time:  You can’t produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant.”- Warren Buffett The bull market that started in March of 2009 is now on the verge of its 6th and a half year,...Read More

  I’ve written and talked a lot about the overall stock market being slightly overvalued and bonds being in a massive bubble. With that said, many stocks and industries have sold off dramatically over the last year and a half and are in their own bear markets. It is somewhat surprising that the index itself...Read More

If one studies the history of financial markets, a consistent theme emerges. Short-term fads tend to dictate short-term performance, but long-term performance is determined by value and fundamentals. There are periods where prices flat out do not make sense, either for the market as a whole or for individual stocks and sectors. The current investment...Read More