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Today we got the latest update on the Consumer Pricing Index (CPI) and it was a doozy, showing annual inflation of 7.5%.  As you can see on the image above, the Real Fed Funds Rate (Fed Funds Rate Minus CPI) is now a negative 7.4%, which is the lowest since 1974.  This means that money...
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Global markets have sold off pretty hard to start the week.  Most of the narrative surrounds the Chinese property market and one of their largest developers, Evergrande.  China’s government is clamping down on leverage and demanding many industries to buy in, literally, to their social objectives via cash “donations”, cheaper housing, etc.  Both the Shanghai...
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Wall Street, like many other industries, is designed to sell you what you think you want. It is like a candy store offering you a wide variety of delectable offerings, that while tasty, might not be best for your health.  Good investments don’t need massive promotional campaigns to sell prudent investors.  Usually a paragraph or...
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Over the weekend, three pieces of good news occurred that should be quite beneficial to our portfolios over the next 12 months and hopefully sooner too.  First, the Moderna vaccine was approved and will start to be used on Monday.  This is another MRNA vaccine like the one from Pfizer, but it doesn’t require the...
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On Monday, we saw additional positive news on the Covid-19 vaccine front, with Moderna’s initial data looking very promising.  This is another revolutionary MRNA vaccine, similar to Pfizer’s, which released impressive data last week. More traditionally developed vaccines are coming down the pipeline as well, and treatments such as the Eli Lilly and Regeneron antibody...
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Today we received some very good news in that Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine is supposedly proving itself to be 90% effective in the latest trials, which is quite a bit better than what is required to be deemed successful.  This is an MRNA vaccine, which is a revolutionary technology that would greatly reduce the time it...
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Today we received some very good news in that Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine is supposedly proving itself to be 90% effective in latest trials, which is quite a bit better than what is required to be deemed successful.  This is an MRNA vaccines, which is a revolutionary technology that would greatly reduce the time it takes to develop...
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Volatility is picking up once again, which we should expect given the extreme conditions the world is seeing.  Yesterday, the Federal Reserve chair said that interest rates were likely to stay near zero through at least the next year or so.  I don’t see that as surprising whatsoever, given the focus will be on reducing...
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2020 has certainly been a tragedy of epic proportions on just about any level imaginable.  There is no sugarcoating that.  When you have tens of thousands of people dying from a new virus, and economies shut down across the world, it is tough to feel cheery, especially when you sprinkle in record unemployment.  The stock...
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It has been an interesting week with a great start and a terrible finish for the markets.  We know there is going to be volatility so I wouldn’t see it as much of a surprise.  I’ve written a lot lately, so I’ll just pass on this great video of Rob Arnott of Research Affiliates, one...
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